Kottern vs Heimstetten: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 16Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)ABT-Arena, Durach
The Footlab model makes Heimstetten the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Kottern. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kottern vs Heimstetten?
Heimstetten starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,751 vs 1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kottern have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Heimstetten have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Deisenhofen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Landshut(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kottern win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Heimstetten win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Heimstetten 3-0 Kottern | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Kottern 2-2 Heimstetten | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Heimstetten 3-2 Kottern | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Kottern 4-3 Heimstetten | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Heimstetten 2-0 Kottern | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Kottern 1-1 Heimstetten | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Heimstetten vs Kottern on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kottern score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Heimstetten score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kottern | 1.1 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Heimstetten | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kottern sit 14th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (33 points from 32 matches) and Heimstetten sit 7th (51 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heimstetten | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 46 | 51 |
| 14 | Kottern | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 57 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kottern vs Heimstetten?
- The Footlab model makes Heimstetten the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Kottern.
- Where and when is Kottern vs Heimstetten played?
- Kottern vs Heimstetten is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at ABT-Arena, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 23, 2026ErlbachvsSchalding-Heining
- Oct 23, 20261860 RosenheimvsTuS Geretsried
- Oct 23, 20261860 München IIvsPipinsried
- Oct 23, 20261880 WasserburgvsLandshut
- Oct 23, 2026Sportfreunde SchwaigvsDeisenhofen
- Oct 24, 2026IsmaningvsSchwabmünchen
- Oct 24, 2026KirchanschöringvsPfaffenhofen
- Oct 24, 2026GundelfingenvsHankofen-Hailing