Match

Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Deisenhofen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 16Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, Oberding

Sportfreunde SchwaigDeisenhofen

The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Deisenhofen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Deisenhofen?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Schwaig (1,754) and Deisenhofen (1,738).

Sportfreunde Schwaig win53 %
Draw26 %
Deisenhofen win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Deisenhofen have 3, 8 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportfreunde Schwaig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Erlbach(home)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Schwabmünchen(away)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Kirchanschöring(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026TuS Geretsried(away)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Gundelfingen(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Deisenhofen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 20261860 München II(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Kottern(home)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 20261860 Rosenheim(away)0-6Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Ismaning(home)2-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Erlbach(away)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Deisenhofen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 17, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig 0-0 DeisenhofenOberliga - Bayern Süd
Oct 4, 2025Deisenhofen 2-1 Sportfreunde SchwaigOberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Deisenhofen on Apr 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Deisenhofen score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sportfreunde Schwaig1.81.159/159/15
Deisenhofen0.91.366/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportfreunde Schwaig sit 9th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (46 points from 33 matches) and Deisenhofen sit 8th (49 points from 32 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Deisenhofen3213109444749
9Sportfreunde Schwaig33121011494546

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Deisenhofen?
The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Deisenhofen.
Where and when is Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Deisenhofen played?
Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Deisenhofen is played on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sportfreunde Schwaig and Deisenhofen

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