Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Deisenhofen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 16Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, Oberding
The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Deisenhofen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Deisenhofen?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Schwaig (1,754) and Deisenhofen (1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Deisenhofen have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erlbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 1860 München II(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kottern(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 1860 Rosenheim(away) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ismaning(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erlbach(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Deisenhofen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig 0-0 Deisenhofen | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Deisenhofen 2-1 Sportfreunde Schwaig | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Deisenhofen on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Deisenhofen score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportfreunde Schwaig | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Deisenhofen | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportfreunde Schwaig sit 9th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (46 points from 33 matches) and Deisenhofen sit 8th (49 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deisenhofen | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 44 | 47 | 49 |
| 9 | Sportfreunde Schwaig | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Deisenhofen?
- The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Deisenhofen.
- Where and when is Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Deisenhofen played?
- Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Deisenhofen is played on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 23, 2026ErlbachvsSchalding-Heining
- Oct 23, 20261860 RosenheimvsTuS Geretsried
- Oct 23, 20261860 München IIvsPipinsried
- Oct 23, 20261880 WasserburgvsLandshut
- Oct 24, 2026IsmaningvsSchwabmünchen
- Oct 24, 2026KotternvsHeimstetten
- Oct 24, 2026GundelfingenvsHankofen-Hailing
- Oct 24, 2026KirchanschöringvsPfaffenhofen