Match

Kottern vs TuS Geretsried: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)ABT-Arena, Durach

KotternTuS Geretsried

The Footlab model makes TuS Geretsried the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kottern. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kottern vs TuS Geretsried?

TuS Geretsried starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,642).

Kottern win34 %
Draw25 %
TuS Geretsried win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kottern have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; TuS Geretsried have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kottern
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 20261880 Wasserburg(home)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Deisenhofen(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Landshut(home)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Hankofen-Hailing(away)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 1, 2026Pfaffenhofen(home)1-4Oberliga - Bayern Süd
TuS Geretsried
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pfaffenhofen(home)2-3Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Schalding-Heining(away)5-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 15, 2026Schwabmünchen(home)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig(home)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Heimstetten(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kottern win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 TuS Geretsried win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 14, 2026TuS Geretsried 1-1 KotternOberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 1, 2025Kottern 0-2 TuS GeretsriedOberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: TuS Geretsried vs Kottern on Apr 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kottern score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; TuS Geretsried score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kottern1.11.657/158/15
TuS Geretsried2.01.6212/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kottern sit 14th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (33 points from 32 matches) and TuS Geretsried sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11TuS Geretsried3412913505045
14Kottern329617405733

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kottern vs TuS Geretsried?
The Footlab model makes TuS Geretsried the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kottern.
Where and when is Kottern vs TuS Geretsried played?
Kottern vs TuS Geretsried is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at ABT-Arena, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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