Match

Erlbach vs Pfaffenhofen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 34Kick-off on May 21, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Erlbach, Erlbach

ErlbachPfaffenhofen

The Footlab AI model makes Erlbach the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Pfaffenhofen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Erlbach wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erlbach vs Pfaffenhofen?

On Elo ratings, Erlbach has 1,835 points and Pfaffenhofen 1,770.

56%24%20%
Erlbach winDrawPfaffenhofen win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Erlbach vs Pfaffenhofen

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Erlbach

Not enough data to predict the Erlbach lineup.

Pfaffenhofen

Not enough data to predict the Pfaffenhofen lineup.

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:09 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erlbach have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Pfaffenhofen have 6, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erlbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026TuS Geretsried(home)3-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Oct 3, 2026Heimstetten(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Sep 25, 2026Pipinsried(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Sep 18, 20261860 München II(away)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Sep 11, 2026Kottern(home)3-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Pfaffenhofen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 20261880 Wasserburg(away)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Oct 3, 2026Deisenhofen(home)4-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Sep 26, 2026Landshut(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Sep 19, 2026Hankofen-Hailing(home)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Sep 12, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig(home)3-3Oberliga - Bayern Süd

How many goals should we expect?

Erlbach score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pfaffenhofen score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Erlbach1.30.594/154/15
Pfaffenhofen1.81.739/1410/14

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Erlbach3216511423553

A question about Erlbach vs Pfaffenhofen?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erlbach vs Pfaffenhofen?
The Footlab AI model makes Erlbach the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Pfaffenhofen.
Where and when is Erlbach vs Pfaffenhofen played?
Erlbach vs Pfaffenhofen is played on May 21, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Erlbach, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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