Kozara Gradiška vs Zvijezda 09: prediction and stats
1st League - RSRS - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Gradiška
The Footlab model makes Kozara Gradiška the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Zvijezda 09. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kozara Gradiška vs Zvijezda 09?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Kozara Gradiška (1,304) and Zvijezda 09 (1,319).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kozara Gradiška have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Zvijezda 09 have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Famos Vojkovići(away) | 1-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(home) | 3-1 | 1st League - RS |
| May 23, 2026 | Laktaši(away) | 0-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 16, 2026 | Slavija(home) | 0-3 | 1st League - RS |
| May 9, 2026 | Drina Zvornik(away) | 1-1 | 1st League - RS |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laktaši(home) | 0-3 | 1st League - RS |
| Jun 3, 2026 | FK Vlasenica(away) | 4-1 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | Omarska(home) | 0-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 27, 2026 | Famos Vojkovići(away) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 23, 2026 | Velež Nevesinje(home) | 6-1 | 1st League - RS |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kozara Gradiška win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Zvijezda 09 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Kozara Gradiška 3-0 Zvijezda 09 | 1st League - RS |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Zvijezda 09 1-1 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Kozara Gradiška 2-2 Zvijezda 09 | 1st League - RS |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Zvijezda 09 1-0 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Kozara Gradiška 0-3 Zvijezda 09 | 1st League - RS |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Zvijezda 09 1-1 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
Last archived meeting: Kozara Gradiška vs Zvijezda 09 on Nov 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kozara Gradiška score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Zvijezda 09 score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kozara Gradiška | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Zvijezda 09 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kozara Gradiška sit 4th in 1st League - RS (40 points from 29 matches) and Zvijezda 09 sit 1st (43 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zvijezda 09 | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 43 |
| 4 | Kozara Gradiška | 29 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 34 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kozara Gradiška vs Zvijezda 09?
- The Footlab model makes Kozara Gradiška the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Zvijezda 09.
- Where and when is Kozara Gradiška vs Zvijezda 09 played?
- Kozara Gradiška vs Zvijezda 09 is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the 1st League - RS.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.