Kozara Gradiška vs Leotar: prediction and stats
1st League - RSRS - 18Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Gradiška
The Footlab model makes Kozara Gradiška the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Leotar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kozara Gradiška vs Leotar?
Leotar starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,432 vs 1,304).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kozara Gradiška have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Leotar have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Famos Vojkovići(away) | 1-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(home) | 3-1 | 1st League - RS |
| May 23, 2026 | Laktaši(away) | 0-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 16, 2026 | Slavija(home) | 0-3 | 1st League - RS |
| May 9, 2026 | Drina Zvornik(away) | 1-1 | 1st League - RS |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Drina Zvornik(home) | 2-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 24, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(away) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 16, 2026 | Laktaši(home) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 10, 2026 | Slavija(away) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 2, 2026 | Kozara Gradiška(home) | 2-0 | 1st League - RS |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kozara Gradiška win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Leotar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Leotar 2-0 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Leotar 1-0 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Kozara Gradiška 2-2 Leotar | 1st League - RS |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Leotar 0-1 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Kozara Gradiška 0-0 Leotar | 1st League - RS |
| May 11, 2024 | Leotar 3-0 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
Last archived meeting: Leotar vs Kozara Gradiška on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kozara Gradiška score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Leotar score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kozara Gradiška | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Leotar | 1.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kozara Gradiška sit 4th in 1st League - RS (40 points from 29 matches) and Leotar sit 2nd (53 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leotar | 29 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 41 | 17 | 53 |
| 4 | Kozara Gradiška | 29 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 34 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kozara Gradiška vs Leotar?
- The Footlab model makes Kozara Gradiška the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Leotar.
- Where and when is Kozara Gradiška vs Leotar played?
- Kozara Gradiška vs Leotar is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the 1st League - RS.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.