Kozuv Gevgelija vs Pelister: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Kožuf, Gevgelija
The Footlab model makes Pelister the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Kozuv Gevgelija. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kozuv Gevgelija vs Pelister?
Pelister starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,547 vs 1,333).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kozuv Gevgelija have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Pelister have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shkupi 1927(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Novaci(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Akademija Pandev(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kamjani(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Novaci(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Kozuv Gevgelija win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Pelister win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | Pelister 1-0 Kozuv Gevgelija | Second League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Kozuv Gevgelija 3-2 Pelister | Second League |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Pelister 5-0 Kozuv Gevgelija | Second League |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Kozuv Gevgelija 2-4 Pelister | Second League |
| Jul 21, 2022 | Pelister 4-1 Kozuv Gevgelija | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Pelister vs Kozuv Gevgelija on Mar 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Kozuv Gevgelija score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pelister score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kozuv Gevgelija | 2.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
| Pelister | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kozuv Gevgelija sit 8th in Second League (3 points from 2 matches) and Pelister sit 9th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kozuv Gevgelija | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Pelister | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kozuv Gevgelija vs Pelister?
- The Footlab model makes Pelister the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Kozuv Gevgelija.
- Where and when is Kozuv Gevgelija vs Pelister played?
- Kozuv Gevgelija vs Pelister is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Kožuf, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.