Novaci vs Makedonija GjP: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Metallurg, Novatsi
The Footlab model makes Makedonija GjP the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Novaci. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novaci vs Makedonija GjP?
Makedonija GjP starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,511 vs 1,330).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novaci have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Makedonija GjP have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ohrid(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pelister(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ohrid(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gorno Lisiče(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teteks(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 25, 2026 | Sileks(home) | 4-2 | First League |
| May 16, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(away) | 3-3 | First League |
| May 10, 2026 | Tikveš(home) | 1-4 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Novaci win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Makedonija GjP win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | Makedonija GjP 4-0 Novaci | Second League |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Novaci 3-0 Makedonija GjP | Second League |
| Apr 21, 2018 | Novaci 0-2 Makedonija GjP | Second League |
| Mar 6, 2018 | Makedonija GjP 1-0 Novaci | Second League |
| Oct 1, 2017 | Novaci 1-1 Makedonija GjP | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Makedonija GjP vs Novaci on Mar 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Novaci score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Makedonija GjP score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novaci | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Makedonija GjP | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novaci sit 12th in Second League (0 points from 2 matches) and Makedonija GjP sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Makedonija GjP | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Novaci | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novaci vs Makedonija GjP?
- The Footlab model makes Makedonija GjP the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Novaci.
- Where and when is Novaci vs Makedonija GjP played?
- Novaci vs Makedonija GjP is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Metallurg, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.