KRC Genk II vs MVV: prediction and stats
Friendlies ClubsClub FriendliesKick-off on August 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Cegeka Arena, Genk
The Footlab model makes KRC Genk II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for MVV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KRC Genk II vs MVV?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate KRC Genk II (1,677) and MVV (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KRC Genk II have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; MVV have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Liège(home) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 1-4 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Royal Antwerp II(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | KAA Gent II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
KRC Genk II score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; MVV score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRC Genk II | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| MVV | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KRC Genk II vs MVV?
- The Footlab model makes KRC Genk II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for MVV.
- Where and when is KRC Genk II vs MVV played?
- KRC Genk II vs MVV is played on August 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Cegeka Arena, in the Friendlies Clubs.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.