KRC Genk II vs Seraing United: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cegeka Arena, Genk
The Footlab model makes KRC Genk II the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Seraing United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KRC Genk II vs Seraing United?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate KRC Genk II (1,667) and Seraing United (1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KRC Genk II have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Seraing United have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Liège(home) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 1-4 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Royal Antwerp II(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Club Brugge II(away) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(home) | 0-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Flénu(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 KRC Genk II win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Seraing United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Seraing United 2-2 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | KRC Genk II 0-0 Seraing United | Challenger Pro League |
| Jan 19, 2025 | KRC Genk II 2-2 Seraing United | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Seraing United 0-2 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Seraing United 1-3 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 26, 2023 | KRC Genk II 1-1 Seraing United | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Seraing United vs KRC Genk II on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KRC Genk II score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Seraing United score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRC Genk II | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Seraing United | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KRC Genk II sit 14th in Challenger Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Seraing United sit 13th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Seraing United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | KRC Genk II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KRC Genk II vs Seraing United?
- The Footlab model makes KRC Genk II the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Seraing United.
- Where and when is KRC Genk II vs Seraing United played?
- KRC Genk II vs Seraing United is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cegeka Arena, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.