Dender vs Patro Eisden: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC)DENDER Football Complex, Denderleeuw
The Footlab model makes Patro Eisden the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Dender. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dender vs Patro Eisden?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Dender (1,779) and Patro Eisden (1,830).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dender have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Patro Eisden have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beerschot VA(home) | 2-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(away) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(home) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Liège(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | MVV(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Dender win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Patro Eisden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | Dender 0-0 Patro Eisden | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Patro Eisden 1-1 Dender | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Dender 3-0 Patro Eisden | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Patro Eisden 1-1 Dender | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 7, 2019 | Dender 0-0 Patro Eisden | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Dender vs Patro Eisden on Jan 27, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Dender score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Patro Eisden score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dender | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Patro Eisden | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dender sit 7th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and Patro Eisden sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dender | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Patro Eisden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dender vs Patro Eisden?
- The Footlab model makes Patro Eisden the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Dender.
- Where and when is Dender vs Patro Eisden played?
- Dender vs Patro Eisden is played on September 20, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC) at DENDER Football Complex, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.