Kryvbas KR vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hirnyk, Kryvyi Rih
The Footlab model makes Metalist 1925 Kharkiv the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Kryvbas KR. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kryvbas KR vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Kryvbas KR (1,870) and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv (1,852).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kryvbas KR have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Metalist 1925 Kharkiv have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rokyta(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kryvbas KR win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0-0 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Kryvbas KR 2-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier League |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Kryvbas KR 3-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-3 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| May 29, 2023 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0-2 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Kryvbas KR 0-2 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Kryvbas KR on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kryvbas KR score 2.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Metalist 1925 Kharkiv score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kryvbas KR | 2.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kryvbas KR sit 7th in Premier League (4 points from 3 matches) and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kryvbas KR | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kryvbas KR vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
- The Footlab model makes Metalist 1925 Kharkiv the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Kryvbas KR.
- Where and when is Kryvbas KR vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv played?
- Kryvbas KR vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hirnyk, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.