Kuchl vs Grödig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NorthNorth - 13Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Kuchl - Andreas Wimmer Arena, Kuchl
The Footlab model makes Kuchl the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Grödig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kuchl vs Grödig?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Kuchl (1,724) and Grödig (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kuchl have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Grödig have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wals-Grünau(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Seekirchen(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | TSV St. Johann(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wallern / Marienkirchen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Pinzgau Saalfelden(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gurten(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ried II(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Wals-Grünau(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Seekirchen(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Jul 31, 2026 | TSV St. Johann(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kuchl win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Grödig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2024 | Grödig 3-0 Kuchl | Landesliga - Salzburg |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Kuchl 3-0 Grödig | Landesliga - Salzburg |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Grödig 0-1 Kuchl | Regionalliga - Salzburg |
| Oct 11, 2022 | Kuchl 3-1 Grödig | Regionalliga - Salzburg |
| Jun 11, 2022 | Kuchl 0-2 Grödig | Regionalliga - Salzburg |
| Apr 18, 2022 | Grödig 2-0 Kuchl | Regionalliga - Salzburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Kuchl score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Grödig score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuchl | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Grödig | 2.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kuchl sit 6th in Regionalliga - North (8 points from 5 matches) and Grödig sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grödig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Kuchl | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kuchl vs Grödig?
- The Footlab model makes Kuchl the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Grödig.
- Where and when is Kuchl vs Grödig played?
- Kuchl vs Grödig is played on October 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Kuchl - Andreas Wimmer Arena, in the Regionalliga - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.