Kudrivka vs Karpaty: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Obolon Arena, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Karpaty the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Kudrivka. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kudrivka vs Karpaty?
Karpaty starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,906 vs 1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kudrivka have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Karpaty have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lozova(away) | 6-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kudrivka win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Karpaty win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Karpaty 1-1 Kudrivka | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Kudrivka 2-2 Karpaty | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Kudrivka score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karpaty score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kudrivka | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Karpaty | 2.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kudrivka sit 11th in Premier League (2 points from 3 matches) and Karpaty sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Kudrivka | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kudrivka vs Karpaty?
- The Footlab model makes Karpaty the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Kudrivka.
- Where and when is Kudrivka vs Karpaty played?
- Kudrivka vs Karpaty is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Obolon Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.