Chornomorets vs Veres Rivne: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa
The Footlab model makes Chornomorets the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Veres Rivne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chornomorets vs Veres Rivne?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Chornomorets (1,738) and Veres Rivne (1,728).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chornomorets have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Veres Rivne have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polessya(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Inhulets(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chornomorets win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Veres Rivne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2025 | Veres Rivne 2-1 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Chornomorets 1-1 Veres Rivne | Premier League |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Chornomorets 0-1 Veres Rivne | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Veres Rivne 3-1 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Veres Rivne 1-3 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2022 | Chornomorets 0-1 Veres Rivne | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets on Apr 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chornomorets score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Veres Rivne score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chornomorets | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Veres Rivne | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chornomorets sit 15th in Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and Veres Rivne sit 14th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Veres Rivne | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Chornomorets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chornomorets vs Veres Rivne?
- The Footlab model makes Chornomorets the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Veres Rivne.
- Where and when is Chornomorets vs Veres Rivne played?
- Chornomorets vs Veres Rivne is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chornomorets, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.