KuPS Akatemia vs SalPa: prediction and stats
YkkönenGroup StageKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Väre Areena, Kuopio
The Footlab model makes KuPS Akatemia the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for SalPa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KuPS Akatemia vs SalPa?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate KuPS Akatemia (1,459) and SalPa (1,505).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KuPS Akatemia have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; SalPa have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | KPV-j(away) | 4-2 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | PKKU(home) | 2-2 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rops(away) | 1-2 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Inter Turku II(home) | 0-1 | Ykkönen |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC jazz(away) | 2-2 | Ykkönen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | OLS(home) | 4-1 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC jazz(home) | 0-2 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | TPV(away) | 1-1 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 5, 2026 | JJK(home) | 2-1 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | KPV-j(away) | 0-3 | Ykkönen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 KuPS Akatemia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 SalPa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | SalPa 4-3 KuPS Akatemia | Ykkönen |
Last archived meeting: SalPa vs KuPS Akatemia on Jun 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KuPS Akatemia score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; SalPa score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KuPS Akatemia | 1.9 | 2.4 | 0 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| SalPa | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KuPS Akatemia sit 11th in Ykkönen (15 points from 21 matches) and SalPa sit 3rd (33 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SalPa | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 34 | 33 |
| 5 | SalPa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 20 | 18 |
| 10 | KuPS Akatemia | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 25 | 7 |
| 11 | KuPS Akatemia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 36 | 48 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KuPS Akatemia vs SalPa?
- The Footlab model makes KuPS Akatemia the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for SalPa.
- Where and when is KuPS Akatemia vs SalPa played?
- KuPS Akatemia vs SalPa is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Väre Areena, in the Ykkönen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.