Match

Kwara United vs Rivers United: prediction and stats

NPFLRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kwara Sports Complex, Ilorin

Kwara UnitedRivers United

The Footlab AI model makes Kwara United the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Rivers United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kwara United wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,244 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kwara United vs Rivers United?

On Elo ratings, Kwara United has 1,607 points and Rivers United 1,731.

34%32%34%
Kwara United winDrawRivers United win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kwara United vs Rivers United

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kwara United

4-3-3
  1. 24E. Ekpeyong
  2. 22Benjamin Jack
  3. 18A. Gata
  1. 4P. Ozor
  2. 8T. Gidado
  3. 14N. Anthony
  1. 12J. Ogbonnaya
  2. 26O. Saheed
  3. 39Aliyu Abubakar
  4. 25Peace Dewan
  1. 1S. Ayeleso

Rivers United

4-3-3
  1. 31T. Zachariah
  2. 13S. Olasupo
  3. 7A. Dabai
  1. 10A. Oyowah
  2. 24W. Falolu
  3. 17C. Ugwueze
  1. 6S. Manyo
  2. 14A. Salman
  3. 5G. Innocent
  4. 35E. Akobundu
  1. 34J. Noble

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 04:58 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kwara United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Rivers United have 5, 9 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kwara United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Enugu Rangers(away)0-1NPFL
Nov 1, 2026Bendel Insurance(home)1-2NPFL
Oct 25, 2026Barau FC(away)1-1NPFL
Oct 17, 2026Abia Warriors(home)1-1NPFL
Oct 10, 2026Ikorodu City(away)0-2NPFL
Rivers United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Enugu Rangers(home)1-1NPFL
Oct 25, 2026Bendel Insurance(away)1-2NPFL
Oct 18, 2026Barau FC(home)0-0NPFL
Oct 11, 2026Abia Warriors(away)0-0NPFL
Oct 4, 2026Ikorodu City(home)2-0NPFL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kwara United win, 3 draws, 2 Rivers United wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 18, 2026Kwara United 1-1 Rivers UnitedNPFL
Aug 31, 2025Rivers United 1-0 Kwara UnitedNPFL
May 11, 2025Kwara United 3-1 Rivers UnitedNPFL
Dec 15, 2024Rivers United 2-1 Kwara UnitedNPFL
May 9, 2024Kwara United 0-0 Rivers UnitedNPFL
Oct 15, 2023Rivers United 0-0 Kwara UnitedNPFL

Last archived meeting: Kwara United vs Rivers United on Feb 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kwara United score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rivers United score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kwara United0.91.326/156/15
Rivers United1.50.878/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kwara United sit 17th in NPFL (12 points from 12 matches) and Rivers United sit 6th (18 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Rivers United1146115518
17Kwara United12336121412

A question about Kwara United vs Rivers United?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kwara United vs Rivers United?
The Footlab AI model makes Kwara United the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Rivers United.
Where and when is Kwara United vs Rivers United played?
Kwara United vs Rivers United is played on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kwara Sports Complex, in the NPFL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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