Match

Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos: prediction and stats

NPFLRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Warri Township Stadium, Warri

Warri WolvesSporting Lagos

The Footlab AI model makes Warri Wolves the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Sporting Lagos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Warri Wolves wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,916 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Warri Wolves (1,598) and Sporting Lagos (1,624).

45%29%26%
Warri Wolves winDrawSporting Lagos win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Warri Wolves

4-3-3
  1. 28C. Orji
  2. 8Uche Sabastine
  3. 10O. Egbo
  1. 6D. Joseph
  2. 27S. Mayi
  3. 22Y. Omotayo
  1. 18E. Uzoechi
  2. 24C. Ogbun
  3. 14E. Bakare
  4. 34T. Emonena
  1. 1B. Adeniyi

Sporting Lagos

Not enough data to predict the Sporting Lagos lineup.

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 07:16 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warri Wolves have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sporting Lagos have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warri Wolves
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Plateau United(away)1-1NPFL
Oct 25, 2026Kano Pillars(home)0-0NPFL
Oct 18, 2026Enyimba(away)0-0NPFL
Oct 11, 2026Inter Lagos(home)3-1NPFL
Oct 4, 2026Doma United(away)0-1NPFL
Sporting Lagos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Katsina United(away)1-2NPFL
Oct 18, 2026Plateau United(away)3-2NPFL
Oct 11, 2026Bendel Insurance(home)2-1NPFL
Oct 3, 2026Kano Pillars(away)1-1NPFL
Sep 30, 2026Ikorodu City(home)0-0NPFL

How many goals should we expect?

Warri Wolves score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Lagos score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Warri Wolves0.70.864/153/15
Sporting Lagos1.31.339/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warri Wolves sit 14th in NPFL (13 points from 11 matches) and Sporting Lagos sit 11th (15 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Sporting Lagos10433141315
14Warri Wolves113447813

A question about Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos?
The Footlab AI model makes Warri Wolves the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Sporting Lagos.
Where and when is Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos played?
Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos is played on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Warri Township Stadium, in the NPFL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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