L'Escala vs Montañesa: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal, L'Escala
The Footlab model makes L'Escala the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Montañesa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win L'Escala vs Montañesa?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate L'Escala (1,704) and Montañesa (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Escala have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Montañesa have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Tona(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lleida Esportiu(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vilanova(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Can Vidalet(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | San Cristóbal(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Vic(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Manresa(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 L'Escala win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Montañesa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Montañesa 2-1 L'Escala | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | L'Escala 1-0 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | L'Escala 3-1 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Montañesa 3-0 L'Escala | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | L'Escala 3-1 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Montañesa 3-1 L'Escala | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
L'Escala score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Montañesa score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Escala | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Montañesa | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
L'Escala sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (46 points from 34 matches) and Montañesa sit 11th (42 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | L'Escala | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 51 | 51 | 46 |
| 11 | Montañesa | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 39 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for L'Escala vs Montañesa?
- The Footlab model makes L'Escala the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Montañesa.
- Where and when is L'Escala vs Montañesa played?
- L'Escala vs Montañesa is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.