Match

Badalona vs Tona: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Badalona, Badalona

BadalonaTona

The Footlab model makes Badalona the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Tona. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Badalona vs Tona?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Badalona (1,803) and Tona (1,759).

Badalona win49 %
Draw28 %
Tona win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badalona have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Tona have 4, 8 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Badalona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Cornellà(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 31, 2026Cornellà(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 24, 2026L'Hospitalet(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 17, 2026L'Hospitalet(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 10, 2026Vic(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Tona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026L'Escala(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 3, 2026Vilassar Mar(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Mollerussa(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026San Cristóbal(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Cornellà(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Badalona win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Tona win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Badalona 0-0 TonaTercera División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 23, 2025Tona 0-0 BadalonaTercera División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Badalona vs Tona on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Badalona score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tona score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Badalona1.21.285/156/15
Tona1.20.967/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Tona3410159353145

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Badalona vs Tona?
The Footlab model makes Badalona the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Tona.
Where and when is Badalona vs Tona played?
Badalona vs Tona is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Badalona, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Badalona and Tona

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