Badalona vs Tona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Badalona, Badalona
The Footlab model makes Badalona the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Tona. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badalona vs Tona?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Badalona (1,803) and Tona (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badalona have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Tona have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 31, 2026 | Cornellà(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 24, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 17, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 10, 2026 | Vic(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | L'Escala(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Vilassar Mar(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mollerussa(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | San Cristóbal(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Badalona win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Tona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Badalona 0-0 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Tona 0-0 Badalona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Badalona score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tona score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badalona | 1.2 | 1.2 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Tona | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tona | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 35 | 31 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badalona vs Tona?
- The Footlab model makes Badalona the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Tona.
- Where and when is Badalona vs Tona played?
- Badalona vs Tona is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Badalona, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 14, 2027PeraladavsCornellà
- Feb 14, 2027Pobla MafumetvsAtlètic Lleida
- Feb 14, 2027GramavsSan Cristóbal
- Feb 14, 2027L'EscalavsMontañesa
- Feb 14, 2027MollerussavsL'Hospitalet
- Feb 14, 2027Europa IIvsVilassar Mar
- Feb 14, 2027MartinencvsCerdanyola del Vallès
- Feb 14, 2027San Juan Atletico de MontcadavsVilanova