Badalona vs Tona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Badalona, Badalona
The Footlab AI model makes Badalona the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Tona. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badalona vs Tona?
On Elo ratings, Badalona has 1,830 points and Tona 1,744.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Badalona vs Tona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Badalona
Not enough data to predict the Badalona lineup.
Tona
Not enough data to predict the Tona lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badalona have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Tona have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vilanova(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tona(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Cristóbal(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vilassar Mar(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Montañesa(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Grama(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Badalona win, 2 draws, 0 Tona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tona 1-3 Badalona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Badalona 0-0 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Tona 0-0 Badalona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Badalona score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tona score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badalona | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Tona | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Badalona sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (10 points from 6 matches) and Tona sit 16th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Badalona | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 16 | Tona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Badalona vs Tona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badalona vs Tona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Badalona the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Tona.
- Where and when is Badalona vs Tona played?
- Badalona vs Tona is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Badalona, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Feb 14, 2027L'EscalavsMontañesa
- Feb 14, 2027MollerussavsL'Hospitalet
- Feb 14, 2027Europa IIvsVilassar Mar
- Feb 14, 2027MartinencvsCerdanyola del Vallès
- Feb 14, 2027San Juan Atletico de MontcadavsVilanova