L'Escala vs Pobla Mafumet: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal, L'Escala
The Footlab model makes L'Escala the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Pobla Mafumet. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win L'Escala vs Pobla Mafumet?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate L'Escala (1,704) and Pobla Mafumet (1,700).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Escala have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Pobla Mafumet have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Tona(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lleida Esportiu(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vilanova(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Can Vidalet(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | San Cristóbal(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 5, 2024 | Castelldefels(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 1, 2024 | Badalona II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | San Cristóbal(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Grama(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 L'Escala win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Pobla Mafumet win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | L'Escala 0-1 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Pobla Mafumet 1-0 L'Escala | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: L'Escala vs Pobla Mafumet on Mar 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
L'Escala score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pobla Mafumet score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Escala | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Pobla Mafumet | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | L'Escala | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 51 | 51 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for L'Escala vs Pobla Mafumet?
- The Footlab model makes L'Escala the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Pobla Mafumet.
- Where and when is L'Escala vs Pobla Mafumet played?
- L'Escala vs Pobla Mafumet is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.