Vilanova vs Cerdanyola del Vallès: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Associació dels Alumnes Obrers, Vilanova i la Geltrú
The Footlab AI model makes Vilanova the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Cerdanyola del Vallès. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,244 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vilanova vs Cerdanyola del Vallès?
On Elo ratings, Vilanova has 1,788 points and Cerdanyola del Vallès 1,699.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vilanova vs Cerdanyola del Vallès
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vilanova
Not enough data to predict the Vilanova lineup.
Cerdanyola del Vallès
Not enough data to predict the Cerdanyola del Vallès lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 04:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vilanova have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Cerdanyola del Vallès have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Martinenc(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | L'Escala(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Grama(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Vilassar Mar(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Montañesa(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Martinenc(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Vilanova win, 0 draws, 1 Cerdanyola del Vallès win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Cerdanyola del Vallès 1-0 Vilanova | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Vilanova 2-0 Cerdanyola del Vallès | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Vilanova on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vilanova score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cerdanyola del Vallès score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vilanova | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Cerdanyola del Vallès | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vilanova sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (19 points from 10 matches) and Cerdanyola del Vallès sit 4th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vilanova | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | Cerdanyola del Vallès | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
A question about Vilanova vs Cerdanyola del Vallès?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vilanova vs Cerdanyola del Vallès?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vilanova the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Cerdanyola del Vallès.
- Where and when is Vilanova vs Cerdanyola del Vallès played?
- Vilanova vs Cerdanyola del Vallès is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Associació dels Alumnes Obrers, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.