L'Hospitalet vs Pobla Mafumet: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Hospitalet de Llobregat, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat
The Footlab model makes L'Hospitalet the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Pobla Mafumet. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win L'Hospitalet vs Pobla Mafumet?
L'Hospitalet starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,817 vs 1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Hospitalet have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Pobla Mafumet have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Badalona II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 17, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 10, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 5, 2024 | Castelldefels(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 1, 2024 | Badalona II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | San Cristóbal(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Grama(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 L'Hospitalet win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Pobla Mafumet win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | L'Hospitalet 2-0 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Pobla Mafumet 3-0 L'Hospitalet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 22, 2023 | L'Hospitalet 1-0 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Pobla Mafumet 2-1 L'Hospitalet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 16, 2022 | L'Hospitalet 4-2 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Pobla Mafumet 2-0 L'Hospitalet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: L'Hospitalet vs Pobla Mafumet on May 12, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
L'Hospitalet score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pobla Mafumet score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Hospitalet | 1.8 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Pobla Mafumet | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | L'Hospitalet | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 39 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for L'Hospitalet vs Pobla Mafumet?
- The Footlab model makes L'Hospitalet the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Pobla Mafumet.
- Where and when is L'Hospitalet vs Pobla Mafumet played?
- L'Hospitalet vs Pobla Mafumet is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Hospitalet de Llobregat, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.