Badalona vs Pobla Mafumet: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 · Matchday 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Badalona, Badalona
The Footlab AI model makes Badalona the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Pobla Mafumet. The most likely score is 1-1. If Badalona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,441 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badalona vs Pobla Mafumet?
Badalona starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,683).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Badalona vs Pobla Mafumet
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Badalona
Not enough data to predict the Badalona lineup.
Pobla Mafumet
4-3-3- GGuzmán
- JJuan Barragán
- MMonne
- AAleix Grabulosa
- MManuel Pavon
- AAlbert Querol
- GGerard Urbina
- BB. Hallebeek
- MMarcel Céspedes
- DDavid Montagut
- GGerard Font
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 11:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badalona have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Pobla Mafumet have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Mollerussa(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vilanova(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Cerdanyola del Vallès(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mollerussa(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Badalona score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Pobla Mafumet score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badalona | 1.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Pobla Mafumet | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Badalona sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (14 points from 9 matches) and Pobla Mafumet sit 10th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Badalona | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Pobla Mafumet | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Badalona vs Pobla Mafumet?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badalona vs Pobla Mafumet?
- The Footlab AI model makes Badalona the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Pobla Mafumet.
- Where and when is Badalona vs Pobla Mafumet played?
- Badalona vs Pobla Mafumet is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Badalona, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.