L'Hospitalet vs Tona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Hospitalet de Llobregat, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat
The Footlab model makes L'Hospitalet the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Tona. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win L'Hospitalet vs Tona?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate L'Hospitalet (1,813) and Tona (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Hospitalet have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Tona have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Badalona II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 17, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 10, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | L'Escala(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Vilassar Mar(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mollerussa(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | San Cristóbal(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 L'Hospitalet win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Tona 4-1 L'Hospitalet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | L'Hospitalet 1-2 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | L'Hospitalet 3-2 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Tona 0-0 L'Hospitalet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | L'Hospitalet 2-1 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Tona 1-2 L'Hospitalet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
L'Hospitalet score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tona score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Hospitalet | 1.8 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Tona | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
L'Hospitalet sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (55 points from 34 matches) and Tona sit 9th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | L'Hospitalet | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 39 | 55 |
| 9 | Tona | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 35 | 31 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for L'Hospitalet vs Tona?
- The Footlab model makes L'Hospitalet the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Tona.
- Where and when is L'Hospitalet vs Tona played?
- L'Hospitalet vs Tona is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Hospitalet de Llobregat, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.