L'Hospitalet vs Tona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 · Matchday 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Hospitalet de Llobregat, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat
The Footlab AI model makes L'Hospitalet the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Tona. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,995 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win L'Hospitalet vs Tona?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate L'Hospitalet (1,781) and Tona (1,724).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for L'Hospitalet vs Tona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
L'Hospitalet
Not enough data to predict the L'Hospitalet lineup.
Tona
Not enough data to predict the Tona lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Hospitalet have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Tona have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Grama(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Mollerussa(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Montañesa(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Martinenc(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | L'Escala(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Europa II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Grama(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 L'Hospitalet wins, 1 draw, 2 Tona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Tona 4-1 L'Hospitalet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | L'Hospitalet 1-2 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | L'Hospitalet 3-2 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Tona 0-0 L'Hospitalet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | L'Hospitalet 2-1 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Tona 1-2 L'Hospitalet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
L'Hospitalet score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tona score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Hospitalet | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Tona | 0.8 | 1.0 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
L'Hospitalet sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (15 points from 10 matches) and Tona sit 8th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | L'Hospitalet | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 15 |
| 8 | Tona | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 14 |
A question about L'Hospitalet vs Tona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for L'Hospitalet vs Tona?
- The Footlab AI model makes L'Hospitalet the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Tona.
- Where and when is L'Hospitalet vs Tona played?
- L'Hospitalet vs Tona is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Hospitalet de Llobregat, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.