Mollerussa vs Tona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Camp Municipal d'Esports, Mollerussa
The Footlab AI model makes Mollerussa the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Tona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mollerussa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mollerussa vs Tona?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Mollerussa (1,713) and Tona (1,710).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mollerussa vs Tona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mollerussa
Not enough data to predict the Mollerussa lineup.
Tona
Not enough data to predict the Tona lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mollerussa have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Tona have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cerdanyola del Vallès(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vilanova(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tona(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Grama(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mollerussa wins, 2 draws, 0 Tona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tona 0-1 Mollerussa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tona 0-0 Mollerussa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Mollerussa 1-0 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Tona 0-3 Mollerussa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Mollerussa 5-1 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Tona 0-0 Mollerussa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mollerussa score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tona score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mollerussa | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Tona | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mollerussa sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (7 points from 5 matches) and Tona sit 15th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mollerussa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 15 | Tona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Mollerussa vs Tona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mollerussa vs Tona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mollerussa the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Tona.
- Where and when is Mollerussa vs Tona played?
- Mollerussa vs Tona is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Municipal d'Esports, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.