La Chaux-de-Fonds vs Stade Payerne: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Charrière, La Chaux-de-Fonds
The Footlab model makes La Chaux-de-Fonds the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Stade Payerne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Chaux-de-Fonds vs Stade Payerne?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate La Chaux-de-Fonds (1,602) and Stade Payerne (1,643).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Chaux-de-Fonds have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Stade Payerne have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Monthey(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Coffrane(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stade Payerne(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Servette II(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Echallens(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naters(home) | 3-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | La Chaux-de-Fonds(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Prishtina Bern(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Martigny Sports(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 La Chaux-de-Fonds win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stade Payerne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stade Payerne 1-2 La Chaux-de-Fonds | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Stade Payerne 0-2 La Chaux-de-Fonds | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | La Chaux-de-Fonds 4-1 Stade Payerne | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2025 | Stade Payerne 2-0 La Chaux-de-Fonds | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | La Chaux-de-Fonds 2-1 Stade Payerne | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Stade Payerne vs La Chaux-de-Fonds on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
La Chaux-de-Fonds score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Payerne score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Chaux-de-Fonds | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Stade Payerne | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Chaux-de-Fonds sit 1st in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 (7 points from 3 matches) and Stade Payerne sit 5th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Chaux-de-Fonds | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Stade Payerne | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Chaux-de-Fonds vs Stade Payerne?
- The Footlab model makes La Chaux-de-Fonds the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Stade Payerne.
- Where and when is La Chaux-de-Fonds vs Stade Payerne played?
- La Chaux-de-Fonds vs Stade Payerne is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Charrière, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.