La Luz vs Penarol: result 3-4 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 2Kick-off on February 14, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
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What was the result of La Luz vs Penarol?
Penarol won 3-4 on February 14, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 9′I. NeiraLa Luz
- 12′H. MenossePenarol
- 45′M. ArezoPenarol (pen.)
- 65′M. ArezoPenarol
- 82′N. RoyónLa Luz
- 87′N. RoyónLa Luz
- 90′M. ArezoPenarol (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Luz have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Penarol have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2023 | Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Nov 1, 2022 | Penarol(home) | 1-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 27, 2022 | Penarol(away) | 0-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 12, 2022 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 3-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | Cerro(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jan 23, 2023 | Club Nacional(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 23, 2023 | Nacional(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Union Santa Fe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 17, 2023 | San Lorenzo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 La Luz win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2022 | La Luz 1-0 Penarol | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 27, 2022 | Penarol 1-0 La Luz | Copa Uruguay |
How many goals should we expect?
La Luz score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.2 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Luz | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Penarol | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy