La Nucía vs Atlético Baleares: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Olímpic Camilo Cano, La Nucia
The Footlab model makes Atlético Baleares the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for La Nucía. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Nucía vs Atlético Baleares?
Atlético Baleares starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Nucía have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Atlético Baleares have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 31, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 La Nucía win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Atlético Baleares win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | Atlético Baleares 1-1 La Nucía | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 16, 2022 | La Nucía 1-1 Atlético Baleares | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Baleares vs La Nucía on Jan 29, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
La Nucía score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Baleares score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Nucía | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Atlético Baleares | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlético Baleares | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 34 | 66 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Nucía vs Atlético Baleares?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Baleares the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for La Nucía.
- Where and when is La Nucía vs Atlético Baleares played?
- La Nucía vs Atlético Baleares is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Olímpic Camilo Cano, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.