Poblense vs Ucam Murcia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, Sa Pobla (Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Poblense the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Ucam Murcia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Poblense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poblense vs Ucam Murcia?
On Elo ratings, Poblense has 1,952 points and Ucam Murcia 1,953.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Poblense vs Ucam Murcia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Poblense
4-3-3- 19Alberto Fernández
- 11Aitor Pons
- 23Antoni Peñafort
- 8M. Femenias
- 18G. Teruel
- 16Payeras Marti
- 15Pep Vidal
- 20Juan Suasi
- 6Joan Salvà
- 10D. Martinez
- 1Vincenç Sabater
Ucam Murcia
4-3-3- 11Dani Aquino
- 7Alvarito
- 18J. Pontones
- 19Juanma Bravo
- 8U. Urzelay
- 20Alberto Soto
- 6O. Jaiteh
- 2J. Ruiz
- 4Ramirez Javi
- 23M. Sevila
- 1F. Ackermann
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poblense have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ucam Murcia have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Poblense score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ucam Murcia score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poblense | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ucam Murcia | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poblense sit 14th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (6 points from 6 matches) and Ucam Murcia sit 1st (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ucam Murcia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 12 |
| 14 | Poblense | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Poblense vs Ucam Murcia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poblense vs Ucam Murcia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Poblense the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Ucam Murcia.
- Where and when is Poblense vs Ucam Murcia played?
- Poblense vs Ucam Murcia is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.