Lagoa vs Vitoria Setubal: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 20Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Capitão Josino da Costa, Lagoa
The Footlab AI model makes Lagoa the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Vitoria Setubal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lagoa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lagoa vs Vitoria Setubal?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Lagoa (1,879) and Vitoria Setubal (1,961).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lagoa vs Vitoria Setubal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lagoa
Not enough data to predict the Lagoa lineup.
Vitoria Setubal
4-3-3- HHeliardo
- TTuga
- JJoca Monteiro
- RR. Omrani
- FFrancisco Ascenso
- DDiogo Fernandes Martins
- LLourenço Henriques
- SSamir Banjai
- JJoão Marouca
- DDiogo Sequeira
- TTiago Neto
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lagoa have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Vitoria Setubal have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Amora(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atlético CP(away) | 1-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Serpa(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Santa Clara B(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcains(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juventude Évora(home) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lajense(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Amora(home) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Lagoa score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vitoria Setubal score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lagoa | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Vitoria Setubal | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lagoa | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 35 | 30 |
A question about Lagoa vs Vitoria Setubal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lagoa vs Vitoria Setubal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lagoa the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Vitoria Setubal.
- Where and when is Lagoa vs Vitoria Setubal played?
- Lagoa vs Vitoria Setubal is played on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Capitão Josino da Costa, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.