Lagos vs Penafiel: result 1-3 and analysis
Taça de Portugal2nd RoundKick-off on October 10, 2020 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Fernando Cabrita, Lagos
Full time
What was the result of Lagos vs Penafiel?
Penafiel won 1-3 on October 10, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 11′?Lagos
- 24′CoronasPenafiel
- 40′?Penafiel
- 90′?Penafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lagos have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Penafiel have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | Oriental Lisboa(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Sintrense(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Pinhalnovense(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Olhanense(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Loures(away) | 0-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2020 | Mafra(home) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 27, 2020 | FC Porto B(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 23, 2020 | Vilafranquense(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 18, 2020 | Oliveirense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 14, 2020 | SC Covilha(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Lagos score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lagos | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Penafiel | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy