Lamphun Warrior vs BG Pathum United: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 29Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai
The Footlab AI model makes Lamphun Warrior the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for BG Pathum United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lamphun Warrior wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,238 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lamphun Warrior vs BG Pathum United?
On Elo ratings, Lamphun Warrior has 1,665 points and BG Pathum United 1,787.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lamphun Warrior vs BG Pathum United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lamphun Warrior
3-4-3- 14Mohammed Osman
- 9Anderson Chaves
- 8A. Berg
- 5C. Tongkiri
- 32B. Tapla
- 6C. Ilić
- 30S. Singmui
- 7D. Schad
- 23C. Clough
- 33O. Okungbowa
- 20N. Muangngam
BG Pathum United
4-1-4-1- 45João Magno
- 6S. Yooyen
- 18C. Songkrasin
- 8A. Pumwisat
- 4L. James
- 26A. Belmonte
- 5K. Kaman
- 17E. Dolah
- 2C. Tamma
- 37F. Kaufmann
- 28S. Anuin
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 05:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lamphun Warrior have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; BG Pathum United have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 4-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Suphanburi(away) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Rayong FC(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 4-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 3-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 2-0 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lamphun Warrior win, 2 draws, 3 BG Pathum United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior 1-1 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 23, 2025 | BG Pathum United 2-1 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | BG Pathum United 1-0 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Lamphun Warrior 2-2 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Lamphun Warrior 2-0 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 29, 2023 | BG Pathum United 3-0 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lamphun Warrior vs BG Pathum United on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lamphun Warrior score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; BG Pathum United score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamphun Warrior | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| BG Pathum United | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lamphun Warrior sit 8th in Thai League 1 (11 points from 8 matches) and BG Pathum United sit 11th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lamphun Warrior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 11 |
| 11 | BG Pathum United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
A question about Lamphun Warrior vs BG Pathum United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lamphun Warrior vs BG Pathum United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lamphun Warrior the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for BG Pathum United.
- Where and when is Lamphun Warrior vs BG Pathum United played?
- Lamphun Warrior vs BG Pathum United is played on May 23, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at 700th Anniversary Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.