Sukhothai FC vs Chonburi FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 29Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Thung Talay Luang Stadium, Sukhothai
The Footlab model makes Sukhothai FC the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Chonburi FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sukhothai FC vs Chonburi FC?
Chonburi FC starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,691 vs 1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sukhothai FC have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Chonburi FC have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Muangthong United(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bangkok United(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Kanchanaburi(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Muangthong United(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Prachuap(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 3-4 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sukhothai FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Chonburi FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Chonburi FC 2-0 Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Sukhothai FC 2-1 Chonburi FC | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Chonburi FC 3-1 Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Sukhothai FC 3-2 Chonburi FC | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 4, 2023 | Sukhothai FC 1-0 Chonburi FC | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Chonburi FC 1-1 Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Chonburi FC vs Sukhothai FC on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sukhothai FC score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chonburi FC score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sukhothai FC | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Chonburi FC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sukhothai FC sit 13th in Thai League 1 (28 points from 30 matches) and Chonburi FC sit 8th (39 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chonburi FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 41 | 39 |
| 13 | Sukhothai FC | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 42 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sukhothai FC vs Chonburi FC?
- The Footlab model makes Sukhothai FC the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Chonburi FC.
- Where and when is Sukhothai FC vs Chonburi FC played?
- Sukhothai FC vs Chonburi FC is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Thung Talay Luang Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.