Lancy vs Chênois: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 1Group 1 - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Marignac, Grand-Lancy
The Footlab model makes Chênois the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Lancy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lancy vs Chênois?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Lancy (1,702) and Chênois (1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lancy have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Chênois have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Portalban / Gletterens(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sion II(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lausanne Sport II(home) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Terre Sainte(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Coffrane(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Meyrin(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Echallens(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Naters(home) | 3-4 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Meyrin(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Echallens(home) | 4-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lancy win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Chênois win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Chênois 1-3 Lancy | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Lancy 1-0 Chênois | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 24, 2025 | Chênois 1-2 Lancy | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Lancy 2-3 Chênois | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Lancy 5-3 Chênois | Erste Liga Cup |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Lancy 1-1 Chênois | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lancy score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chênois score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancy | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Chênois | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lancy sit 12th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 (3 points from 2 matches) and Chênois sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chênois | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| 12 | Lancy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lancy vs Chênois?
- The Footlab model makes Chênois the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Lancy.
- Where and when is Lancy vs Chênois played?
- Lancy vs Chênois is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Marignac, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.