Lancy vs La Chaux-de-Fonds: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 1Group 1 - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Marignac, Grand-Lancy
The Footlab model makes Lancy the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for La Chaux-de-Fonds. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lancy vs La Chaux-de-Fonds?
Lancy starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,703 vs 1,602).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lancy have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; La Chaux-de-Fonds have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Portalban / Gletterens(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sion II(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lausanne Sport II(home) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Terre Sainte(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Coffrane(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Monthey(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Coffrane(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stade Payerne(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Servette II(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lancy win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 La Chaux-de-Fonds win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lancy 3-4 La Chaux-de-Fonds | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | La Chaux-de-Fonds 0-2 Lancy | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2025 | Lancy 3-0 La Chaux-de-Fonds | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | La Chaux-de-Fonds 0-3 Lancy | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 14, 2022 | La Chaux-de-Fonds 3-2 Lancy | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Lancy 0-1 La Chaux-de-Fonds | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lancy vs La Chaux-de-Fonds on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lancy score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; La Chaux-de-Fonds score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancy | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| La Chaux-de-Fonds | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lancy sit 8th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 (4 points from 3 matches) and La Chaux-de-Fonds sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Chaux-de-Fonds | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Lancy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lancy vs La Chaux-de-Fonds?
- The Footlab model makes Lancy the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for La Chaux-de-Fonds.
- Where and when is Lancy vs La Chaux-de-Fonds played?
- Lancy vs La Chaux-de-Fonds is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Marignac, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.