Vevey Sports vs Stade Payerne: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 1Group 1 - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Copet, Vevey
The Footlab model makes Stade Payerne the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Vevey Sports. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vevey Sports vs Stade Payerne?
Stade Payerne starts as the favourite with a 223-point Elo edge (1,643 vs 1,419).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vevey Sports have 0 wins, 1 draws and 14 defeats; Stade Payerne have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Prishtina Bern(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Azzurri(away) | 2-4 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Meyrin(home) | 0-4 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Paradiso(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 23, 2026 | Basel II(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Echallens(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naters(home) | 3-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | La Chaux-de-Fonds(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Prishtina Bern(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Martigny Sports(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Vevey Sports score 1.2 and concede 4.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Payerne score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vevey Sports | 1.2 | 4.2 | 0 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
| Stade Payerne | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vevey Sports sit 16th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 (0 points from 3 matches) and Stade Payerne sit 5th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Stade Payerne | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | Vevey Sports | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vevey Sports vs Stade Payerne?
- The Footlab model makes Stade Payerne the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Vevey Sports.
- Where and when is Vevey Sports vs Stade Payerne played?
- Vevey Sports vs Stade Payerne is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Copet, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.