Laredo vs Guarnizo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Campo San Lorenzo, Laredo
The Footlab AI model makes Laredo the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Guarnizo. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Laredo vs Guarnizo?
Laredo starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,853 vs 1,738).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Laredo vs Guarnizo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Laredo
Not enough data to predict the Laredo lineup.
Guarnizo
Not enough data to predict the Guarnizo lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Laredo have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Guarnizo have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vimenor(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barquereño(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Naval Reinosa(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Escobedo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlético Albericia(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bezana(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Torina(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Velarde(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sámano(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cayón(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Laredo wins, 0 draws, 1 Guarnizo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Guarnizo 2-3 Laredo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Laredo 2-0 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Guarnizo 1-0 Laredo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Laredo 1-0 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 23, 2019 | Guarnizo 0-2 Laredo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Laredo score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guarnizo score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laredo | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Guarnizo | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Laredo sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (15 points from 6 matches) and Guarnizo sit 11th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Laredo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Guarnizo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Laredo vs Guarnizo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Laredo vs Guarnizo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Laredo the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Guarnizo.
- Where and when is Laredo vs Guarnizo played?
- Laredo vs Guarnizo is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Campo San Lorenzo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.