Torina vs Sámano: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Bárcena de Pie de Concha, Bárcena de Pie de Concha
The Footlab AI model makes Torina the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Sámano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torina vs Sámano?
Torina starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,740 vs 1,639).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torina vs Sámano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torina
Not enough data to predict the Torina lineup.
Sámano
4-3-3- 9A. Castillo Marcilla
- 11A. Berzosa
- 23J. Ibanez
- 6D. Aguirre
- 10A. Lambea
- 14M. Gilete
- 2A. Abad
- 22L. Gomez
- 4J. Lopez
- LLuis Gómez
- 1G. Masach
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torina have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Sámano have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cayón(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Guarnizo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vimenor(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Barquereño(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Naval Reinosa(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Velarde(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlético Mineros(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cayón(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guarnizo(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vimenor(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Torina wins, 2 draws, 1 Sámano win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | Torina 2-1 Sámano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Sámano 1-1 Torina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 1, 2024 | Sámano 1-1 Torina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Torina 2-1 Sámano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Sámano 2-0 Torina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Torina 2-0 Sámano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Torina score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sámano score 1.3 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torina | 1.2 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Sámano | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torina sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (10 points from 6 matches) and Sámano sit 4th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sámano | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Torina | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
A question about Torina vs Sámano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torina vs Sámano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torina the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Sámano.
- Where and when is Torina vs Sámano played?
- Torina vs Sámano is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:45 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Bárcena de Pie de Concha, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.