Largs Thistle vs Newton Stewart: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Largs Thistle the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Newton Stewart. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Largs Thistle vs Newton Stewart?
Largs Thistle starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,635 vs 1,473).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Largs Thistle have 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Newton Stewart have 1, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kilwinning Rangers(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Cumnock Juniors(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(home) | 3-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dalbeattie Star(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Albion Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(home) | 0-9 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gretna 2008(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Glasgow University(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Largs Thistle score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 6; Newton Stewart score 0.8 and concede 3.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Largs Thistle | 1.5 | 0.5 | 4 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
| Newton Stewart | 0.8 | 3.7 | 1 | 6/12 | 11/12 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Largs Thistle sit 8th in Football League - Lowland League (13 points from 6 matches) and Newton Stewart sit 32nd (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Largs Thistle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 32 | Newton Stewart | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Largs Thistle vs Newton Stewart?
- The Footlab model makes Largs Thistle the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Newton Stewart.
- Where and when is Largs Thistle vs Newton Stewart played?
- Largs Thistle vs Newton Stewart is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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