Match

Newton Stewart vs Renfrew: prediction and stats

Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Blairmount Park, Newton Stewart

Newton StewartRenfrew

The Footlab model makes Newton Stewart the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Renfrew. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Newton Stewart vs Renfrew?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Newton Stewart (1,470) and Renfrew (1,530).

Newton Stewart win41 %
Draw22 %
Renfrew win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Newton Stewart have 1 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Renfrew have 0, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Newton Stewart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026 Johnstone Burgh(away)2-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 8, 2026Pollok(home)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Auchinleck Talbot(home)0-9Football League - Lowland League
Jul 29, 2026Gretna 2008(away)0-3Football League - Lowland League
Jul 25, 2026Clydebank(away)2-4Football League - Lowland League
Renfrew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Caledonian Braves(home)1-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 19, 2026Troon FC(away)0-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 8, 2026Celtic II(home)3-5Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Cumbernauld Colts(away)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Jul 29, 2026Pollok(home)1-4Football League - Lowland League

How many goals should we expect?

Newton Stewart score 0.8 and concede 3.6 goals per match over their last 13; Renfrew score 1.5 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Newton Stewart0.83.617/1312/13
Renfrew1.53.305/65/6

Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Newton Stewart sit 32nd in Football League - Lowland League (1 points from 4 matches) and Renfrew sit 30th (1 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
30Renfrew60159201
32Newton Stewart40134181

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Newton Stewart vs Renfrew?
The Footlab model makes Newton Stewart the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Renfrew.
Where and when is Newton Stewart vs Renfrew played?
Newton Stewart vs Renfrew is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Blairmount Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Newton Stewart and Renfrew

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