Larisa vs AEK Athens FC: result 0-1 and analysis
Football LeaguePromotion Play-offs - 4Kick-off on May 13, 2015 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AEL Arena, Larissa
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What was the result of Larisa vs AEK Athens FC?
AEK Athens FC won 0-1 on May 13, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 42′V. PlatelasAEK Athens FC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Larisa have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; AEK Athens FC have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2015 | Olympiakos Volos(away) | 1-0 | Football League |
| May 4, 2015 | Apollon Smirnis(home) | 0-1 | Football League |
| Apr 26, 2015 | Panachaiki FC(away) | 3-2 | Football League |
| Apr 5, 2015 | Iraklis(away) | 1-0 | Football League |
| Mar 28, 2015 | Zakynthos(home) | 2-0 | Football League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2015 | Apollon Smirnis(home) | 2-1 | Football League |
| May 4, 2015 | Panachaiki FC(home) | 3-0 | Football League |
| Apr 26, 2015 | Iraklis(away) | 1-2 | Football League |
| Apr 4, 2015 | AOT Alimos(home) | 3-0 | Football League |
| Mar 29, 2015 | Kallithea(away) | 2-0 | Football League |
How many goals should we expect?
Larisa score 1.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Athens FC score 2.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa | 1.2 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| AEK Athens FC | 2.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy