Where and when is Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington played?

Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Cashman Field, in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Cashman Field, Las Vegas, Nevada

Las Vegas Lights

Lexington

The Footlab model makes Lexington the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Las Vegas Lights. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Las Vegas Lights (1,684) and Lexington (1,765).

Las Vegas Lights win34 %

Draw28 %

Lexington win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Vegas Lights have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Lexington have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Las Vegas Lights
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lexington(away)	0-2	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Brooklyn(home)	2-1	USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Miami FC(away)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 6, 2026	Oakland Roots(home)	0-0	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Phoenix Rising(home)	1-1	USL Championship

Lexington
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Las Vegas Lights(home)	2-0	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Sacramento Republic(away)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Phoenix Rising(home)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Monterey Bay(home)	3-2	USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026	FC Tulsa(away)	0-0	USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Las Vegas Lights win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lexington win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lexington 2-0 Las Vegas Lights	USL Championship
May 3, 2026	Las Vegas Lights 2-1 Lexington	USL Championship
Aug 31, 2025	Las Vegas Lights 1-0 Lexington	USL Championship
Apr 12, 2025	Lexington 0-0 Las Vegas Lights	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Las Vegas Lights score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lexington score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Las Vegas Lights	1.1	1.1	5	7/15	6/15
Lexington	1.7	1.2	6	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Las Vegas Lights sit 10th in USL Championship (15 points from 12 matches) and Lexington sit 8th (15 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Lexington	20	9	4	7	30	23	31
8	Las Vegas Lights	21	8	5	8	28	30	29
8	Lexington	12	4	3	5	17	15	15
10	Las Vegas Lights	12	4	3	5	18	20	15

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington?: The Footlab model makes Lexington the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Las Vegas Lights.
Where and when is Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington played?: Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Cashman Field, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.