Match

LDU de Quito vs Aucas: prediction and stats

Liga ProChampionship Group - 7Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito

LDU de QuitoAucas

The Footlab AI model makes LDU de Quito the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Aucas. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,194 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win LDU de Quito vs Aucas?

LDU de Quito starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,854).

62%24%14%
LDU de Quito winDrawAucas win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for LDU de Quito vs Aucas

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

LDU de Quito

5-3-2
  1. 11M. Estrada
  2. 7L. Rodríguez
  1. 8J. Pretell
  2. 20F. Cornejo
  3. 31J. Rodríguez
  1. 30G. Allala
  2. 57M. Weigandt
  3. 23Yerlin Quinonez
  4. 44L. Segovia
  5. 3Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo
  1. 1G. Valle

Aucas

4-1-4-1
  1. 9R. Monti Azpiazu
  1. 21P. Guzmán
  2. 6A. Spina
  3. 28R. Quiñónez
  4. 5Thiago
  5. 18Andrés David Mena Montenegro
  1. 37A. Zova
  2. 2S. Morales
  3. 16L. Gustavino
  4. 31B. Carabalí
  1. 13Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:37 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, LDU de Quito have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Aucas have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

LDU de Quito
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Barcelona SC(away)1-1Liga Pro
Nov 5, 2026Universidad Catolica(home)1-2Copa Ecuador
Nov 1, 2026Independiente del Valle(away)0-2Liga Pro
Oct 30, 2026Universidad Catolica(away)2-2Copa Ecuador
Oct 24, 2026Macara(home)1-2Liga Pro
Aucas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Independiente del Valle(home)2-4Liga Pro
Nov 1, 2026Universidad Catolica(away)2-1Liga Pro
Oct 25, 2026Barcelona SC(home)0-4Liga Pro
Oct 17, 2026LDU de Quito(home)1-1Liga Pro
Oct 10, 2026Independiente del Valle(away)1-2Liga Pro

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 LDU de Quito wins, 2 draws, 1 Aucas win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Aucas 1-1 LDU de QuitoLiga Pro
Aug 26, 2026LDU de Quito 1-0 AucasCopa Ecuador
Aug 17, 2026Aucas 0-1 LDU de QuitoLiga Pro
Apr 23, 2026LDU de Quito 0-0 AucasLiga Pro
Aug 9, 2025Aucas 1-0 LDU de QuitoLiga Pro
Apr 18, 2025LDU de Quito 3-1 AucasLiga Pro

Last archived meeting: Aucas vs LDU de Quito on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

LDU de Quito score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aucas score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
LDU de Quito1.31.3211/158/15
Aucas1.01.348/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

LDU de Quito sit 4th in Liga Pro (54 points from 36 matches) and Aucas sit 5th (54 points from 36 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4LDU de Quito3615912383254
5Aucas3615912404254

A question about LDU de Quito vs Aucas?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for LDU de Quito vs Aucas?
The Footlab AI model makes LDU de Quito the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Aucas.
Where and when is LDU de Quito vs Aucas played?
LDU de Quito vs Aucas is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, in the Liga Pro.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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