Match

Independiente del Valle vs Macara: prediction and stats

Liga ProChampionship Group - 7Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito

Independiente del ValleMacara

The Footlab AI model makes Independiente del Valle the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Macara. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,194 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Macara?

Independiente del Valle starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (2,116 vs 1,984).

65%22%13%
Independiente del Valle winDrawMacara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Independiente del Valle vs Macara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Independiente del Valle

4-1-4-1
  1. 9C. González
  1. 16R. Briones
  2. 10J. Sornoza
  3. 6J. Alcívar
  4. 52Y. Vásquez
  5. 17A. Rodríguez
  1. 14M. Carabajal
  2. 5R. Schunke
  3. 13Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
  4. 19L. Loor
  1. 1A. Quintana

Macara

4-1-4-1
  1. 9F. Posse
  1. 16J. Cazares
  2. 28A. Campana
  3. 20M. Viera
  4. 15M. Tello
  5. 5J. Estacio
  1. 14J. Marrufo
  2. 25J. Bolaños
  3. 27J. Mohor
  4. 21S. Etchebarne
  1. 1R. Rodriguez

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:51 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente del Valle have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Macara have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Independiente del Valle
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Aucas(away)4-2Liga Pro
Nov 6, 2026Delfin SC(home)2-0Copa Ecuador
Nov 1, 2026LDU de Quito(home)2-0Liga Pro
Oct 29, 2026Delfin SC(away)3-0Copa Ecuador
Oct 23, 2026Universidad Catolica(home)0-0Liga Pro
Macara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Universidad Catolica(home)2-2Liga Pro
Oct 31, 2026Barcelona SC(home)3-0Liga Pro
Oct 24, 2026LDU de Quito(away)2-1Liga Pro
Oct 17, 2026Independiente del Valle(home)1-0Liga Pro
Oct 11, 2026Universidad Catolica(away)1-0Liga Pro

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Independiente del Valle wins, 1 draw, 1 Macara win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Macara 1-0 Independiente del ValleLiga Pro
Sep 5, 2026Independiente del Valle 3-1 MacaraLiga Pro
May 16, 2026Macara 0-3 Independiente del ValleLiga Pro
Jul 12, 2025Macara 1-2 Independiente del ValleLiga Pro
Mar 16, 2025Independiente del Valle 1-1 MacaraLiga Pro
Nov 24, 2024Independiente del Valle 7-0 MacaraLiga Pro

Last archived meeting: Macara vs Independiente del Valle on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Independiente del Valle score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Macara score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Independiente del Valle1.91.058/158/15
Macara1.51.159/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Independiente del Valle sit 1st in Liga Pro (84 points from 35 matches) and Macara sit 2nd (67 points from 36 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Independiente del Valle352735813784
2Macara362079523767

A question about Independiente del Valle vs Macara?

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Independiente del Valle vs Macara?
The Footlab AI model makes Independiente del Valle the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Macara.
Where and when is Independiente del Valle vs Macara played?
Independiente del Valle vs Macara is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, in the Liga Pro.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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