LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras: result 3-2 and analysis
CONMEBOL LibertadoresQuarter-finalsKick-off on September 16, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Full time
What was the result of LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras?
LDU de Quito won 3-2 on September 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 10′Marlon FreitasPalmeiras
- 15′L. SegoviaLDU de Quito
- 73′Vitor RoquePalmeiras (pen.)
- 90′M. EstradaLDU de Quito
- 90′M. EstradaLDU de Quito
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Palmeiras win at 37%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
LDU de Quito
3-4-1-2- 11M. Estrada
- 13J. Corozo
- 7L. Rodríguez
- 23Yerlin Quinonez
- 5Sebastían González Baquero
- 31J. RodrÃguez
- 57M. Weigandt
- 44L. Segovia
- 4Ricardo Ade
- 3Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo
- 1G. Valle
Palmeiras
3-4-2-1- 42J. López
- 8Andreas Pereira
- 11J. Arias
- 22J. Piquerez
- 30Lucas Evangelista
- 17Marlon Freitas
- 4A. Giay
- 2A. Barboza
- 3Bruno Fuchs
- 26Murilo
- 1Carlos Miguel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, LDU de Quito have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Palmeiras have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario(away) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2026 | LDU de Quito(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Botafogo(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Santos(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 LDU de Quito win, 0 draws, 2 Palmeiras wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Palmeiras 1-0 LDU de Quito | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Palmeiras 4-0 LDU de Quito | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Oct 24, 2025 | LDU de Quito 3-0 Palmeiras | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
Last archived meeting: Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito on Sep 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
LDU de Quito score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Palmeiras score 1.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDU de Quito | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Palmeiras | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
LDU de Quito sit 1st in CONMEBOL Libertadores (12 points from 6 matches) and Palmeiras sit 2nd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LDU de QuitoGroup G | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | PalmeirasGroup F | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
A question about LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy