Match

Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras: prediction and stats

Copa Do BrasilSemi-finalsKick-off on November 8, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro

Vasco DA GamaPalmeiras

The Footlab AI model makes Palmeiras the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Vasco DA Gama. The most likely score is 1-1. If Palmeiras wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,975 vs 1,830).

27%29%44%
Vasco DA Gama winDrawPalmeiras win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Vasco DA Gama

4-1-4-1
  1. 19Bruno Duarte
  1. 22A. Lescano
  2. 23Thiago Mendes
  3. 5S. Sosa
  4. 9F. Colidio
  5. 28Adson
  1. 30Robert Renan
  2. 4A. Saldivia
  3. 66Cuiabano
  4. 96Paulo Henrique
  1. 1Léo Jardim

Palmeiras

3-4-2-1
  1. 42J. López
  1. 11J. Arias
  2. 17Marlon Freitas
  3. 18Maurício
  4. 30Lucas Evangelista
  5. 4A. Giay
  6. 22J. Piquerez
  1. 15G. Gómez
  2. 26Murilo
  3. 2A. Barboza
  1. 1Carlos Miguel

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:03 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasco DA Gama have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Palmeiras have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vasco DA Gama
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Atletico Paranaense(away)3-1Serie A
Nov 1, 2026Palmeiras(away)0-1Copa Do Brasil
Oct 29, 2026Flamengo(home)1-4Serie A
Oct 24, 2026Corinthians(home)3-2Serie A
Oct 21, 2026Boca Juniors(home)1-3CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Palmeiras
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 5, 2026Remo(home)6-1Serie A
Nov 1, 2026Vasco DA Gama(home)1-0Copa Do Brasil
Oct 28, 2026Santos(away)0-0Serie A
Oct 24, 2026RB Bragantino(home)2-0Serie A
Oct 22, 2026Fluminense(home)0-1CONMEBOL Libertadores

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vasco DA Gama win, 0 draws, 5 Palmeiras wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Palmeiras 1-0 Vasco DA GamaCopa Do Brasil
Aug 23, 2026Palmeiras 4-1 Vasco DA GamaSerie A
Mar 12, 2026Vasco DA Gama 2-1 PalmeirasSerie A
Oct 1, 2025Palmeiras 3-0 Vasco DA GamaSerie A
May 4, 2025Vasco DA Gama 0-1 PalmeirasSerie A
Sep 22, 2024Vasco DA Gama 0-1 PalmeirasSerie A

Last archived meeting: Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama on Nov 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Vasco DA Gama score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Palmeiras score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vasco DA Gama1.51.066/157/15
Palmeiras1.50.5104/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?
The Footlab AI model makes Palmeiras the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Vasco DA Gama.
Where and when is Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras played?
Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras is played on November 8, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio São Januário, in the Copa Do Brasil.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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