Le Havre vs Gazelec FC Ajaccio: result 2-1 and analysis
Ligue 2Regular Season - 4Kick-off on August 17, 2012 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Stade Océane, Le Havre
Full time
What was the result of Le Havre vs Gazelec FC Ajaccio?
Le Havre won 2-1 on August 17, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 8′Geoffrey MalfleuryLe Havre
- 73′A. BonnetLe Havre
- 78′N. LaïfaGazelec FC Ajaccio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Havre have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Gazelec FC Ajaccio have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2012 | Lens(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 7, 2012 | Tours(away) | 6-6 | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Aug 3, 2012 | Guingamp(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 27, 2012 | Arles(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| May 18, 2012 | Angers(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2012 | Arles(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 7, 2012 | Vannes(home) | 6-6 | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Aug 3, 2012 | Istres(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 27, 2012 | Caen(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 18, 2012 | Epinal(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Le Havre score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gazelec FC Ajaccio score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Gazelec FC Ajaccio | 1.5 | 1.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy