Le Havre vs Strasbourg: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Océane, Le Havre
The Footlab AI model makes Le Havre the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Strasbourg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Le Havre wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Le Havre vs Strasbourg?
On Elo ratings, Le Havre has 1,910 points and Strasbourg 2,056.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Le Havre vs Strasbourg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Le Havre
4-2-3-1- 9J. Maja
- 7A. Richardson
- 25M. Samatta
- 26S. Ebonog
- 30S. Nakamura
- 14R. Ndiaye
- 15A. Seko
- 5A. Touba
- 20D. Ouziad
- 23V. Sasso
- 93G. Gallon
Strasbourg
4-3-3- 80Gessime Yassine
- 11S. Nanasi
- 7S. Amo-Ameyaw
- 23Diogo Sousa
- 21P. Diop
- 10G. Reyna
- 16G. Antwi
- 4J. Mitchell
- 36Oso
- 31Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
- 1F. Jörgensen
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Havre have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Strasbourg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lille(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angers(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 6-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Le Havre wins, 0 draws, 3 Strasbourg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Le Havre 2-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Strasbourg 1-0 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2025 | Strasbourg 2-3 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Le Havre 0-3 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2024 | Le Havre 3-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Strasbourg 3-1 Le Havre | Coupe de France |
Last archived meeting: Le Havre vs Strasbourg on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Le Havre score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Strasbourg score 1.7 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Strasbourg | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Le Havre sit 18th in Ligue 1 (2 points from 6 matches) and Strasbourg sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
A question about Le Havre vs Strasbourg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Le Havre vs Strasbourg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Le Havre the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Strasbourg.
- Where and when is Le Havre vs Strasbourg played?
- Le Havre vs Strasbourg is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Océane, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.