Le Mans vs Arles: result 1-0 and analysis
Coupe de la Ligue1st RoundKick-off on July 22, 2011 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans
Full time
What was the result of Le Mans vs Arles?
Le Mans won 1-0 on July 22, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 1′F. CisséLe Mans
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Mans have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Arles have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2011 | Vannes(away) | 3-4 | Ligue 2 |
| May 16, 2011 | Laval(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 10, 2011 | Estac Troyes(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 6, 2011 | Tours(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 2, 2011 | Evian TG(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2011 | Sochaux(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 21, 2011 | Lens(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 15, 2011 | Toulouse(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 11, 2011 | Nice(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 7, 2011 | Saint Etienne(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Le Mans score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arles score 0.7 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans | 1.1 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Arles | 0.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy